Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | BRY +300 UVM -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +10 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -6.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -6.1 (-3.9) | 130.9 (-16.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.3 (-3.7) | 131.5 (-17.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -6.5 (-3.5) | 132.0 (-18.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -6.1 (-3.9) | 132.0 (-18.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UVM 65 – 48 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-17 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#341) | -3.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#336) | -0.36 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#334) | -0.43 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#310) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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