Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -1100 BRY +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +27 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -13.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.6 (+14.4) | 134.8 (+18.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -9.8 (+17.2) | 134.9 (+18.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -10.6 (+16.4) | 135.6 (+17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -11.0 (+16.0) | 135.6 (+17.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UVM 65 – 48 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#224) | -13.9 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#231) | -2.45 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#223) | -3.00 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#208) | 0.411 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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