Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -170 UVM +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +20 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -6.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -3.7 (+16.3) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -4.2 (+15.8) | 138.1 (-12.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -3.4 (+16.6) | 136.9 (-10.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -3.5 (+16.5) | 138.0 (-12.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UVM 65 – 48 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 65.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#209) | -5.2 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#238) | -0.54 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#208) | -0.75 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.482 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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