Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -400 BRY +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +17 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -8.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -7.2 (+9.8) | 140.2 (-27.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -9.1 (+7.9) | 140.4 (-27.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -9.1 (+7.9) | 141.5 (-28.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -7.7 (+9.3) | 140.4 (-27.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 11-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 10-4 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#107) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#78) | 0.36 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#81) | 0.36 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#44) | 0.531 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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