Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
Atlantic Sun Conference · Farris Center · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -8.5 Home covered
O/U 168.5 Over
Money CARK +350 / KENN -400
Model Predictions
Spread Total CARK win
Actual CARK +5 179 Won
Massey KENN -6.4 (+11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 167.0 (+12.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -6.9 (+11.9) 160.0 (+19.0) 29% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -5.5 (+10.5) 160.2 (+18.8) 25% ✗
Baseline ML KENN -6.0 (+11.0) 161.2 (+17.8) 31% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENN -5.5 (+10.5) 161.1 (+17.9) 34% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2023 KENN 72 – 56 CARK
Dec 31, 2022 KENN 82 – 66 CARK
Feb 10, 2022 KENN 83 – 72 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CARK KENN
Overall 9-23 15-16
Conference 5-11 6-10
Home 5-10 9-5
Away 4-13 4-11
Neutral 0-0 2-0
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L5 L3
Avg Pts For 70.2 81.5
Avg Pts Against 80.3 83.7
Massey -13.3 (#343) -3.2 (#221)
Bradley-Terry -2.03 (#329) 0.08 (#170)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.48 (#327) -0.13 (#182)
RPI 0.387 (#340) 0.489 (#188)
Shooting & Four Factors CARK KENN
FG% 41.0% 44.4%
3PT% 35.0% 32.5%
REB / G 33.9 36.5
OREB / G 10.4 11.5
AST / TO 0.97 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 51.4%
TOV% 18.9% 16.1%
ORB% 28.1% 29.0%
FT Rate 22.4% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 19.4%
DRB% 65.8% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 30.7%

Game Analysis

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