Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Atlantic Sun Conference · Farris Center · February 25, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -9.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money CARK +400 / KENN -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total CARK win
Actual KENN +16 128 Lost
Massey KENN -9.4 (-6.6) — —
Massey Totals — 158.3 (-30.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 9% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -8.7 (-7.3) 153.4 (-25.4) 18% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -8.1 (-7.9) 155.6 (-27.6) 18% ✓
Baseline ML KENN -8.0 (-8.0) 155.8 (-27.8) 18% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENN -8.6 (-7.4) 154.3 (-26.3) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2024 CARK 92 – 87 KENN
Dec 31, 2022 KENN 82 – 66 CARK
Feb 10, 2022 KENN 83 – 72 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CARK KENN
Overall 9-22 26-9
Conference 4-14 15-3
Home 6-8 15-1
Away 2-13 10-6
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 73.5
Avg Pts Against 82.4 70.9
Massey -11.5 (#340) 1.6 (#138)
Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#292) 1.19 (#81)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.96 (#316) 1.05 (#102)
RPI 0.433 (#308) 0.565 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors CARK KENN
FG% 40.8% 45.9%
3PT% 31.9% 37.5%
REB / G 35.8 34.1
OREB / G 11.1 9.5
AST / TO 0.91 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 52.9%
TOV% 18.1% 18.2%
ORB% 28.1% 27.8%
FT Rate 18.4% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 20.1%
DRB% 69.6% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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