Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -10.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money KENN -500 / CARK +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +16 148 Won
Massey KENN -13.8 (+2.2) — —
Massey Totals — 150.2 (-2.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -10.4 (+5.6) 146.3 (+1.7) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -10.1 (+5.9) 147.4 (+0.6) 87% ✓
Baseline ML KENN -11.5 (+4.5) 147.2 (+0.8) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENN -11.3 (+4.7) 148.6 (-0.6) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2024 CARK 92 – 87 KENN
Feb 25, 2023 KENN 72 – 56 CARK
Feb 10, 2022 KENN 83 – 72 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN CARK
Overall 26-9 9-22
Conference 15-3 4-14
Home 15-1 6-8
Away 10-6 2-13
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 73.5 71.8
Avg Pts Against 70.9 82.4
Massey -1.2 (#192) -10.4 (#335)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#134) -0.89 (#259)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.09 (#168) -1.36 (#272)
RPI 0.516 (#153) 0.454 (#258)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN CARK
FG% 41.7% 39.9%
3PT% 39.5% 31.5%
REB / G 31.7 36.2
OREB / G 9.0 12.1
AST / TO 0.95 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 46.5%
TOV% 20.0% 19.3%
ORB% 25.4% 29.7%
FT Rate 22.0% 15.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.2% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 16.2%
DRB% 76.4% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 30.6% 23.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.