Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ME -300 BING +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +1 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -9.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-38.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -5.9 (-6.9) | 136.7 (-35.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -6.9 (-7.9) | 137.4 (-36.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -6.5 (-7.5) | 138.1 (-37.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -7.0 (-8.0) | 140.0 (-39.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BING 74 – 67 ME |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ME 79 – 63 BING |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BING 71 – 69 ME |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ME 82 – 71 BING |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BING 76 – 74 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#211) | -8.3 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#240) | -1.11 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#232) | -1.51 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#219) | 0.455 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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