Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BING +140 ME -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ME -3.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -2.7 (+4.7) | 133.5 (+6.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -1.6 (+3.6) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -1.8 (+3.8) | 134.2 (+5.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -2.3 (+4.3) | 134.8 (+5.2) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BING 74 – 67 ME |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ME 79 – 63 BING |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ME 82 – 71 BING |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BING 76 – 74 ME |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BING 51 – 50 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-12 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#309) | -2.7 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#270) | -0.58 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#279) | -0.66 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#251) | 0.488 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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