Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | ME -258 BING +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ME -8.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -7.4 (+8.6) | 126.7 (+15.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -5.8 (+10.2) | 128.1 (+13.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -5.7 (+10.3) | 126.9 (+15.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -5.7 (+10.3) | 124.4 (+17.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BING 74 – 67 ME |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BING 71 – 69 ME |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ME 82 – 71 BING |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BING 76 – 74 ME |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BING 51 – 50 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 4-12 |
| Home | 4-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-14 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#339) | -18.3 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#346) | -4.06 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#350) | -4.94 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#343) | 0.306 (#365) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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