Betting Lines
| Spread | BING -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | BING -175 ME +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ME -0.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -0.4 (+2.4) | 133.8 (+16.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BING -0.3 (+1.7) | 131.3 (+18.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -0.2 (+2.2) | 133.0 (+17.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -0.0 (+2.0) | 135.2 (+14.8) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BING 74 – 67 ME |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ME 79 – 63 BING |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BING 71 – 69 ME |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ME 82 – 71 BING |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BING 51 – 50 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#283) | -3.1 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#268) | -0.65 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#285) | -0.62 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#250) | 0.480 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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