Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ME -280 BING +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ME -8.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -4.6 (+6.4) | 134.7 (+18.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -4.7 (+6.3) | 134.0 (+19.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -3.9 (+7.1) | 135.2 (+17.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -3.9 (+7.1) | 135.8 (+17.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BING 74 – 67 ME |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ME 79 – 63 BING |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BING 71 – 69 ME |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BING 76 – 74 ME |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BING 51 – 50 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#238) | -8.1 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#226) | -0.56 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#226) | -1.05 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#230) | 0.481 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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