Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ORE +145 ARIZ -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +9 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -9.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -4.7 (-4.3) | 159.7 (+5.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -5.6 (-3.4) | 158.5 (+6.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -6.2 (-2.8) | 161.0 (+4.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -5.1 (-3.9) | 160.4 (+4.6) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ORE 87 – 68 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#58) | 22.3 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#43) | 2.27 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#56) | 3.22 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#36) | 0.623 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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