Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -800 ORE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -14.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.6 (-19.6) | 155.2 (-29.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.8 (-18.8) | 152.7 (-26.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -12.3 (-20.3) | 154.8 (-28.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.2 (-20.2) | 154.5 (-28.5) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ORE 87 – 68 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 22.9 (#2) | 8.8 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#11) | 1.56 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#7) | 1.80 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#3) | 0.558 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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