Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Arizona Wildcats
59 67
FINAL Neutral Pac-12 Tournament
Oregon Ducks
T-Mobile Arena (Neutral) · March 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -11.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money ARIZ -800 / ORE +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ORE +8 126 Lost
Massey ARIZ -14.1 (-22.1)
Massey Totals 158.9 (-32.9)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 83%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -14.2 (-22.2) 153.3 (-27.3) 81%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -12.2 (-20.2) 152.7 (-26.7) 82%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -13.2 (-21.2) 156.0 (-30.0) 85%
Baseline ML ARIZ -13.4 (-21.4) 154.4 (-28.4) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 24, 2025 ARIZ 8783 ORE
Mar 2, 2024 ARIZ 10383 ORE
Jan 27, 2024 ARIZ 8778 ORE
Feb 3, 2023 ARIZ 9176 ORE
Jan 14, 2023 ORE 8768 ARIZ

Game Analysis

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