Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -4.6 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.5 (+22.5) | 152.1 (+2.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -3.1 (+22.1) | 152.1 (+2.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.3 (+21.3) | 153.7 (+1.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -3.8 (+22.8) | 151.1 (+3.9) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#78) | 15.7 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#86) | 2.86 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#84) | 3.23 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#78) | 0.628 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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