Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -4.6 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.2 (+20.2) | 153.6 (+1.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ARIZ -2.6 (+21.6) | 152.1 (+2.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -2.7 (+21.7) | 152.1 (+2.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.7 (+21.7) | 151.0 (+4.0) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
Game Analysis
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