Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -400 ORE +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +15 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -9.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -8.8 (+6.2) | 151.8 (+15.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -9.0 (+6.0) | 150.6 (+16.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -8.5 (+6.5) | 149.8 (+17.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -9.0 (+6.0) | 151.2 (+15.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ORE 87 – 68 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#9) | 9.6 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#10) | 1.17 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#17) | 1.58 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#5) | 0.553 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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