In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -7.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money ARIZ -400 / ORE +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ARIZ +15 167 Won
Massey ARIZ -9.9 (+5.1)
Massey Totals 153.9 (+13.1)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 92%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -9.2 (+5.8) 149.8 (+17.2) 81%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -9.5 (+5.5) 150.6 (+16.4) 82%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -9.9 (+5.1) 151.8 (+15.2) 81%
Baseline ML ARIZ -10.4 (+4.6) 151.2 (+15.8) 81%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 24, 2025 ARIZ 8783 ORE
Mar 16, 2024 ORE 6759 ARIZ
Mar 2, 2024 ARIZ 10383 ORE
Jan 27, 2024 ARIZ 8778 ORE
Jan 14, 2023 ORE 8768 ARIZ

Game Analysis

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