Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -200 ORE +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -5.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -2.6 (+1.4) | 149.0 (+21.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -3.3 (+0.7) | 150.4 (+19.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.4 (+1.6) | 150.1 (+19.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.9 (+1.1) | 150.2 (+19.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ORE 87 – 68 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 20.2 (#11) | 15.1 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#23) | 3.03 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.65 (#18) | 3.59 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#33) | 0.621 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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