Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -13.5 Home covered
O/U 158.5 Over
Money ARIZ -1400 / ORE +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ARIZ +20 186 Won
Massey ARIZ -17.5 (+2.5)
Massey Totals 160.6 (+25.4)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 91%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -16.9 (+3.1) 159.0 (+27.0) 87%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -14.7 (+5.3) 158.7 (+27.3) 86%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -15.4 (+4.6) 158.3 (+27.7) 87%
Baseline ML ARIZ -16.0 (+4.0) 157.9 (+28.1) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 24, 2025 ARIZ 8783 ORE
Mar 16, 2024 ORE 6759 ARIZ
Jan 27, 2024 ARIZ 8778 ORE
Feb 3, 2023 ARIZ 9176 ORE
Jan 14, 2023 ORE 8768 ARIZ

Game Analysis

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