Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -1400 ORE +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +20 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -14.8 (+5.2) | 158.3 (+27.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -14.4 (+5.6) | 158.8 (+27.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.0 (+4.0) | 159.0 (+27.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.4 (+4.6) | 157.9 (+28.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ORE 87 – 68 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 23.1 (#2) | 8.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#10) | 1.59 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#6) | 1.86 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#7) | 0.568 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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