All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Dartmouth Big Green
75 71
FINAL Conference
Brown Bears
Ivy League · Leede Arena · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -5.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money DART +210 / BRWN -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual DART +4 146 Won
Massey BRWN -4.2 (+8.2)
Massey Totals 129.5 (+16.5)
Bradley-Terry 49%
Weighted B-T 42%
Efficiency Plus ML BRWN -5.5 (+9.5) 131.8 (+14.2) 32%
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -4.2 (+8.2) 130.8 (+15.2) 31%
Baseline ML BRWN -4.3 (+8.3) 130.6 (+15.4) 29%
Baseline Plus ML BRWN -4.1 (+8.1) 132.2 (+13.8) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 BRWN 7976 DART
Jan 31, 2026 DART 7770 BRWN
Mar 1, 2025 DART 7858 BRWN
Jan 25, 2025 DART 8483 BRWN
Mar 2, 2024 BRWN 8967 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART BRWN
Overall 6-21 13-18
Conference 2-12 8-6
Home 6-7 5-7
Away 0-14 6-8
Neutral 0-0 2-3
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 60.6 70.7
Avg Pts Against 73.2 72.5
Massey -12.5 (#338) -4.6 (#256)
Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#331) -1.34 (#293)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.44 (#325) -1.38 (#282)
RPI 0.405 (#323) 0.435 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors DART BRWN
FG% 38.5% 41.7%
3PT% 27.2% 31.2%
REB / G 32.6 37.7
OREB / G 6.7 12.2
AST / TO 0.82 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.6% 47.7%
TOV% 19.1% 19.2%
ORB% 19.1% 31.7%
FT Rate 18.6% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 16.6%
DRB% 75.7% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 17.7% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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