Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -130 DART +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -0.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -0.0 (-7.0) | 143.2 (+3.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -0.2 (-6.8) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -0.2 (-7.2) | 140.2 (+6.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.2 (-7.2) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DART 75 – 71 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#270) | -4.0 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#310) | -0.82 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#310) | -1.07 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#317) | 0.471 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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