Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Brown Bears
70 77 OT
FINAL Conference
Dartmouth Big Green
Ivy League · Pizzitola Sports Center · January 31, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money BRWN -130 / DART +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual DART +7 147 Lost
Massey BRWN -0.4 (-7.4)
Massey Totals 143.7 (+3.3)
Bradley-Terry 44%
Weighted B-T 40%
Efficiency Plus ML DART -0.2 (-6.8) 145.0 (+2.0) 49%
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -0.2 (-7.2) 140.2 (+6.8) 51%
Baseline ML BRWN -0.2 (-7.2) 141.8 (+5.2) 48%
Baseline Plus ML DART -0.0 (-7.0) 143.2 (+3.8) 51%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 BRWN 7976 DART
Mar 1, 2025 DART 7858 BRWN
Jan 25, 2025 DART 8483 BRWN
Mar 2, 2024 BRWN 8967 DART
Jan 27, 2024 DART 7571 BRWN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN DART
Overall 9-18 11-16
Conference 3-11 5-9
Home 6-8 5-8
Away 3-10 6-8
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L3
Avg Pts For 67.2 73.1
Avg Pts Against 72.4 78.4
Massey -6.8 (#270) -4.0 (#226)
Bradley-Terry -1.63 (#310) -0.82 (#238)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.09 (#310) -1.07 (#239)
RPI 0.419 (#317) 0.471 (#232)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN DART
FG% 41.7% 43.7%
3PT% 31.1% 38.7%
REB / G 34.8 35.2
OREB / G 10.4 9.1
AST / TO 1.14 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 53.1%
TOV% 18.5% 18.3%
ORB% 28.5% 26.7%
FT Rate 19.7% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 13.2%
DRB% 68.8% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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