Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | DART -120 BRWN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DART -3.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -2.3 (+17.7) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -2.8 (+17.2) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -2.9 (+17.1) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -3.0 (+17.0) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DART 75 – 71 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | -2.5 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#211) | -0.29 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#214) | -0.39 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#199) | 0.501 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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