Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -240 DART +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +1 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -6.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -3.6 (-4.6) | 146.3 (+20.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -5.9 (-6.9) | 147.1 (+19.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -4.0 (-5.0) | 145.0 (+22.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -3.8 (-4.8) | 145.0 (+22.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DART 75 – 71 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#221) | -7.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#194) | -1.24 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#223) | -1.55 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#187) | 0.444 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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