Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -700 DART +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -11.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -9.4 (+12.6) | 134.9 (+21.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -9.9 (+12.1) | 133.3 (+22.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -9.4 (+12.6) | 132.7 (+23.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -9.9 (+12.1) | 135.7 (+20.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DART 75 – 71 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | -11.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#260) | -2.14 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#254) | -2.50 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#254) | 0.409 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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