Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DART -155 BRWN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -6.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -5.1 (-8.1) | 138.5 (+16.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -4.2 (-7.2) | 139.3 (+15.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -4.8 (-7.8) | 135.2 (+19.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -4.5 (-7.5) | 135.3 (+19.7) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DART 75 – 71 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#231) | -7.5 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#245) | -1.92 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#247) | -2.34 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#223) | 0.408 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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