Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -600 WIU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -11.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -8.5 (+5.5) | 131.8 (-17.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.8 (+6.2) | 132.8 (-18.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -8.9 (+5.1) | 130.9 (-16.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -9.4 (+4.6) | 132.4 (-18.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORE 81 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MORE 71 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIU 72 – 67 MORE |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MORE 51 – 47 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MORE 78 – 57 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -4.5 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#115) | -0.13 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#124) | 0.11 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#119) | 0.484 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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