Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +200 MORE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +21 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -2.9 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -1.7 (-19.3) | 131.2 (+3.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -2.8 (-18.2) | 133.7 (+1.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -1.7 (-19.3) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -1.6 (-19.4) | 131.0 (+4.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORE 81 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MORE 71 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIU 72 – 67 MORE |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MORE 51 – 47 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MORE 64 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#251) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#205) | 0.46 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#183) | 0.56 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#187) | 0.549 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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