Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -440 WIU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -10.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -8.7 (-3.7) | 138.4 (-1.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -9.0 (-4.0) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -8.7 (-3.7) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -8.7 (-3.7) | 138.6 (-1.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORE 81 – 59 WIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIU 72 – 67 MORE |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MORE 51 – 47 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MORE 78 – 57 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MORE 64 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 1-19 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#294) | -15.7 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#256) | -3.27 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#281) | -4.29 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#219) | 0.361 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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