Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · January 23, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -8.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money MORE -440 / WIU +340
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +5 137 Won
Massey MORE -10.6 (-5.6)
Massey Totals 142.9 (-5.9)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -8.7 (-3.7) 139.7 (-2.7) 82%
Model 4 ML MORE -9.0 (-4.0) 139.1 (-2.1) 83%
Model 3 ML MORE -8.7 (-3.7) 138.4 (-1.4) 82%
Baseline ML MORE -8.7 (-3.7) 138.6 (-1.6) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 MORE 8159 WIU
Feb 15, 2025 WIU 7267 MORE
Jan 17, 2025 MORE 5147 WIU
Feb 23, 2024 MORE 7857 WIU
Jan 27, 2024 MORE 6450 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE WIU
Overall 20-13 5-26
Conference 15-5 1-19
Home 11-2 4-11
Away 7-10 1-15
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 72.0 63.2
Avg Pts Against 75.5 78.5
Massey -8.4 (#294) -15.7 (#353)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#256) -3.27 (#357)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.70 (#281) -4.29 (#357)
RPI 0.477 (#219) 0.361 (#359)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE WIU
FG% 42.8% 39.2%
3PT% 31.7% 27.8%
REB / G 36.1 33.2
OREB / G 13.0 11.3
AST / TO 0.93 0.58
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 43.4%
TOV% 19.2% 18.7%
ORB% 36.0% 31.2%
FT Rate 25.7% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 15.6%
DRB% 63.1% 67.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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