Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -425 WIU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +4 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -7.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-38.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.2 (-1.2) | 134.1 (-36.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.0 (-3.0) | 134.2 (-36.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -4.6 (-0.6) | 134.6 (-36.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -5.8 (-1.8) | 135.5 (-37.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORE 81 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MORE 71 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIU 72 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MORE 78 – 57 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MORE 64 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#289) | -10.9 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | -1.85 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#231) | -2.99 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#186) | 0.390 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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