And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -8.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money MORE -425 / WIU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +4 98 Won
Massey MORE -7.2 (-3.2)
Massey Totals 136.1 (-38.1)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 95%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -4.6 (-0.6) 134.6 (-36.6) 73%
Model 4 ML MORE -7.0 (-3.0) 134.2 (-36.2) 75%
Model 3 ML MORE -5.2 (-1.2) 134.1 (-36.1) 72%
Baseline ML MORE -5.8 (-1.8) 135.5 (-37.5) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 MORE 8159 WIU
Jan 23, 2026 MORE 7166 WIU
Feb 15, 2025 WIU 7267 MORE
Feb 23, 2024 MORE 7857 WIU
Jan 27, 2024 MORE 6450 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE WIU
Overall 15-17 12-19
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 9-5 8-7
Away 6-10 4-11
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 W2
Avg Pts For 63.7 66.6
Avg Pts Against 69.8 73.3
Massey -7.4 (#289) -10.9 (#332)
Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#194) -1.85 (#321)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#231) -2.99 (#340)
RPI 0.493 (#186) 0.390 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE WIU
FG% 41.9% 42.8%
3PT% 31.7% 35.8%
REB / G 36.8 31.4
OREB / G 11.3 10.4
AST / TO 0.82 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 49.9%
TOV% 19.8% 18.4%
ORB% 31.5% 30.7%
FT Rate 25.9% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 15.6%
DRB% 74.4% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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