Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -115 IOWA -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +10 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -1.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -1.3 (-8.7) | 159.3 (+6.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -0.3 (-9.7) | 160.0 (+6.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -1.7 (-8.3) | 159.1 (+6.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -0.7 (-9.3) | 157.5 (+8.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MICH 71 – 68 IOWA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MICH 85 – 83 IOWA |
| Dec 10, 2023 | MICH 90 – 80 IOWA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 84 MICH |
| Mar 4, 2022 | IOWA 82 – 71 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#90) | 11.4 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#136) | 1.16 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#109) | 1.78 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#105) | 0.540 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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