Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA +340 MICH -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -11.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -9.1 (+6.1) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.2 (+3.2) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -8.9 (+5.9) | 142.3 (-3.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -8.4 (+5.4) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | MICH 85 – 83 IOWA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 78 MICH |
| Dec 10, 2023 | MICH 90 – 80 IOWA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 84 MICH |
| Mar 4, 2022 | IOWA 82 – 71 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 19-1 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#27) | 30.2 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#37) | 4.97 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#36) | 6.53 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#54) | 0.683 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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