Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -200 KU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -9.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -6.6 (-2.6) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -7.8 (-3.8) | 140.3 (+13.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -6.5 (-2.5) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -6.6 (-2.6) | 143.8 (+10.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | KU 71 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 18-0 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#6) | 14.2 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#29) | 2.93 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#39) | 3.45 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#45) | 0.644 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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