Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | KU -150 ISU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +17 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | KU -2.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.2 (+13.8) | 148.8 (-27.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.7 (+12.3) | 147.9 (-26.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.7 (+13.3) | 149.6 (-28.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.1 (+13.9) | 151.0 (-30.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | KU 71 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#13) | 19.8 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#19) | 3.22 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#22) | 3.78 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#9) | 0.622 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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