Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | KU -205 ISU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | KU -3.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.1 (+10.9) | 130.0 (-1.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.8 (+10.2) | 126.7 (+2.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -2.8 (+10.2) | 128.3 (+0.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.5 (+9.5) | 129.2 (-0.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#8) | 13.7 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#2) | 2.30 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.10 (#2) | 2.95 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#2) | 0.558 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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