Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -340 KU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -6.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -7.5 (+10.5) | 143.1 (-13.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -7.7 (+10.3) | 142.8 (-12.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -7.0 (+11.0) | 143.0 (-13.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -6.5 (+11.5) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | KU 71 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 23.4 (#5) | 20.1 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.75 (#11) | 3.88 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#14) | 4.61 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#20) | 0.671 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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