Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -240 KU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -4.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -6.3 (+10.7) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -5.7 (+11.3) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -4.9 (+12.1) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -5.3 (+11.7) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | KU 71 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 21.1 (#6) | 20.8 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.54 (#3) | 3.54 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.14 (#2) | 4.68 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#16) | 0.683 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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