Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | KU +142 ISU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -4.5 (+25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -2.6 (+23.6) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -1.5 (+22.5) | 148.6 (-1.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -2.6 (+23.6) | 145.4 (+1.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -2.2 (+23.2) | 146.7 (+0.3) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | KU 71 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#27) | 24.9 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#29) | 5.67 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#31) | 8.64 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#12) | 0.648 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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