Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UCR +110 LBSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +12 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -0.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -0.7 (-12.7) | 145.2 (-27.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -0.5 (-12.5) | 145.0 (-27.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -0.6 (-12.6) | 147.0 (-29.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -0.3 (-12.3) | 146.0 (-28.0) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#250) | -0.7 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#263) | 0.28 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#252) | 0.20 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#270) | 0.504 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.