Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -230 UCR +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -5.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -3.7 (+11.3) | 144.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.0 (+13.0) | 141.8 (+19.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -3.4 (+11.6) | 143.6 (+17.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -3.4 (+11.6) | 144.4 (+16.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LBSU 65 – 53 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#257) | -7.8 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#269) | -0.75 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#261) | -0.69 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#315) | 0.493 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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