Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +140 UCR -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -2.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -3.9 (-12.1) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -2.7 (-13.3) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -4.3 (-11.7) | 139.3 (-3.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -3.0 (-13.0) | 140.4 (-4.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LBSU 65 – 53 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-11 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#293) | -0.5 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#282) | 1.16 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#262) | 0.72 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#283) | 0.562 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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