Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UCR +102 LBSU -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -0.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -0.7 (+9.3) | 143.6 (-11.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -1.2 (+8.8) | 143.6 (-11.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -0.0 (+10.0) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -0.5 (+9.5) | 144.0 (-12.0) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LBSU 65 – 53 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#288) | -4.9 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#247) | -0.96 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#231) | -1.01 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#226) | 0.436 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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