Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UCR -700 LBSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -13.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -11.2 (+9.8) | 143.0 (+10.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -10.1 (+10.9) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -11.7 (+9.3) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -11.4 (+9.6) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LBSU 65 – 53 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#149) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#83) | -1.62 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#104) | -1.78 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#74) | 0.431 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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