Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +138 ALCN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -1.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -0.0 (-9.0) | 148.1 (-5.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -1.5 (-7.5) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -0.6 (-8.4) | 149.6 (-6.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -0.3 (-8.7) | 150.0 (-7.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 58 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FAMU 65 – 64 ALCN |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ALCN 79 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-8 | 7-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#341) | -10.6 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#338) | -1.71 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#338) | -2.26 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#282) | 0.425 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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