Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -355 ALCN +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -9.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -7.2 (+0.8) | 142.2 (-18.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FAMU -7.1 (+0.9) | 141.8 (-17.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FAMU -7.9 (+0.1) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -8.3 (-0.3) | 142.7 (-18.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FAMU 65 – 64 ALCN |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ALCN 79 – 68 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ALCN 76 – 67 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#322) | -17.2 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#256) | -1.78 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#263) | -2.35 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#260) | 0.412 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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