Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ALCN -700 FAMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ALCN -8.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -7.7 (+3.3) | 139.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -8.4 (+2.6) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -8.3 (+2.7) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -7.8 (+3.2) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 58 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FAMU 65 – 64 ALCN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ALCN 76 – 67 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#311) | -14.3 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#286) | -2.56 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#294) | -3.34 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#262) | 0.401 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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