Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -300 PRES +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -9.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -8.9 (+6.1) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.7 (+7.3) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -7.1 (+7.9) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -7.7 (+7.3) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#199) | -7.6 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#164) | -1.54 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#162) | -1.74 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#160) | 0.409 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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