Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -142 PRES +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +6 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -1.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -1.4 (-7.4) | 142.2 (+33.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.1 (-8.1) | 142.4 (+33.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -1.2 (-7.2) | 139.7 (+36.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -1.3 (-7.3) | 138.4 (+37.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RAD 82 – 69 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#250) | -6.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#267) | -1.23 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#266) | -1.79 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#272) | 0.459 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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