Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -290 PRES +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -7.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -6.7 (-13.7) | 140.1 (+12.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -6.9 (-13.9) | 137.3 (+15.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.0 (-14.0) | 138.3 (+14.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -6.6 (-13.6) | 140.9 (+12.1) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RAD 82 – 69 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#175) | -5.3 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#140) | -1.13 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#130) | -1.23 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#133) | 0.433 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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