Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | PRES -118 RAD -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +9 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -3.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -2.3 (-11.3) | 149.8 (+27.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -2.5 (-11.5) | 148.3 (+28.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -2.4 (-11.4) | 146.7 (+30.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -2.7 (-11.7) | 148.8 (+28.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RAD 82 – 69 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 80.8 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#259) | -5.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#263) | -1.22 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#290) | -1.67 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#255) | 0.442 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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