Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -195 PRES +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.3 (+1.7) | 133.2 (+9.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.4 (+1.6) | 130.3 (+12.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -3.2 (+1.8) | 132.7 (+10.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.9 (+2.1) | 133.3 (+9.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RAD 82 – 69 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#176) | -4.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | -0.80 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#142) | -0.89 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#136) | 0.453 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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