Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -298 PRES +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -4.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.3 (+15.7) | 142.9 (-1.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -4.7 (+14.3) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -3.9 (+15.1) | 141.8 (-0.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.7 (+15.3) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RAD 82 – 69 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#263) | -7.2 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#290) | -1.08 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#294) | -1.88 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#283) | 0.442 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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